At the turn of the year, it’s customary for media outlets, publications, companies, agencies, pundits, and just about anyone with access to a microphone or platform to offer predictions for the coming year. What are the trends? What will happen? What will capture our attention as the year unfolds? What is on the horizon that we should all expect to be a big thing?
While predictions like these are almost always interesting and fun (and do take a look at our agency’s views in the space as the new year unfolds!), when it comes to making marketing decisions for your brand it’s more prudent to give yourself the time and space to understand the situation and the nuances you face before following the latest trend.
But these days, the prognostication and speculation don’t just happen at year-end. They are the never-ending fodder that feeds the daily content beast, where each special election, shift in Fed rates, change in the Dow, loss on the football field, or pedestrian daily occurrence is some sort of epic, seismic event that is exhaustively pored over and looked into for signs of larger trends in the nation’s or your team’s future fortunes.
Smart thinking, smart marketing work, and generally being a well-informed and logical human being requires some calm, some perspective, and an honest attempt to understand the facts and separate them from the opinion.
It’s exhausting. And it's mostly all just hot air to fill space because no one knows for certain what these daily shifts mean. Uncertainty and nuance are not concepts that many people are comfortable with. “Black and white” is easier to communicate than shades of gray, and speculation and opinion are easier to come up with than reasoned investigative reporting. Many would rather have the alarmist, sky-is-falling, breathless, hyperventilating swirl of speculation and supposed absolutes that are common from the commentary world and the news cycle than a balanced and nuanced look at a problem.
Smart thinking, smart marketing work, and generally being a well-informed and logical human being requires some calm, some perspective, and an honest attempt to understand the facts and separate them from the opinion. While understanding the difference between what is happening or has happened and what people THINK will happen.